CatalystMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $49.63 ↑ 4.1% 28th %ile (neutral) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 28th in 90d range | Regime: neutral

Why it matters

Crude volatility at 23rd percentile signals complacency, while KXWTI 8.5% odds target $117+ by Nov 3, 2026.

Sources

futures